Archive for 'Rudy Giuliani'

Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

I Know Rudy’s Out For Sure…

…because he sent me an e-mail saying so, and endorsing McCain (rumor has it Arnold may do the same tomorrow or soon) - so what if he sent it to 3 million other people, he also sent it to me, dammit!  The Republicans are debating right now, but I’m not watching…if anyone else is, feel free […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Arnold Schwarzenegger, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, 2008 News, Republican Candidates by Mark

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Tuesday, January 29th, 2008

For The GOP, The Fat Lady Warms Up

The wires are full of stories that Rudy Giuliani has cut a deal to endorse John McCain on Wednesday.  With Huckabee’s continued friendliness to McCain (including the very real possibility that he is staying in to siphon votes from Romney to get a VP bid) and the huge win in Florida tonight, it’s safe to […]

16 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, 2008 News, Republican Candidates by Mark

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Tuesday, January 29th, 2008

Florida - Gateway To The Nomination

At least, that’s the hope of McCain and Romney.  Sadly, I think we can say, based on early leaks of exit polling, it’s goodbye to Rudy Giuliani, who I quite firmly believed (still do) would be the best hope for Republicans in a 2008 election that’s shaping up to be brutal.  Alas, the news gets […]

23 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Friday, January 25th, 2008

Will Obama Continue To Underperform?

Since the fiasco of the New Hampshire Democratic primary polling, there has been a tendency among many, myself included, to feel that Obama will pull in less votes than the polls suggest in any given primary.  Whether this is the Bradley effect, the young voter thing, or any other explanation cannot be conclusively stated at […]

4 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, John McCain, 2008 News, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008

Big, Big Trouble For Rudy G.

Personal feelings aside (I think you all know that I’m a big Giuliani fan), Rudy may be the biggest flop of a frontrunner since Howard Dean if things don’t change quickly.  The RCP Florida average has 5 polls up right now, all taken since January 20th, and Rudy doesn’t lead a single one.  In fact, […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates by Mark

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Tuesday, January 22nd, 2008

The End Of An Odd Campaign

Fred Thompson is out - of course, you heard this much earlier, but I couldn’t get to my PC until now.  Thompson never really seemed to have his heart in it, and his entire campaign, in retrospect, feels a bit forced and phony.  I certainly never thought he had a shot, and the most interesting […]

5 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Republican Candidates by Mark

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Tuesday, January 8th, 2008

Looking Ahead: Romney’s Last Stand?

Quick takes on the road ahead:
Romney must win Michigan.  Period.  Polls show him ahead of McCain, but narrowly, and McCain has the momentum.
Clinton has a huge lead in Nevada, and has regained the upper hand in the Democratic race.  Overnight, the narrative has changed completely for the donkeys. 
Huckabee has a large lead in South Carolina, […]

7 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, Hillary Clinton, Election 2008 by Mark

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Monday, January 7th, 2008

No Sure Things Yet

Obama’s momentum is undeniably real, and the wear is starting to show in the Hillary camp - and with Hillary herself.  The vote in New Hampshire seems a foregone conclusion - but it’s wrong to say that Hillary is out with a loss.  In fact, she still polls comfortably ahead in such delegate-rich states as […]

3 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark

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Sunday, January 6th, 2008

And Then Came New Hampshire

Those looking to read the tea leaves for Tuesday’s New Hampshire vote are asking if the Iowa victories of Obama and Huckabee have wings.  In Obama’s case, the answer appears to be yes.  Obama is tied, trailing by one, or leading by as much as 12 in every major poll in New Hampshire taken after […]

9 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Thursday, January 3rd, 2008

Huckabee Wins, Dems Still In Doubt

It couldn’t be closer on the Democratic side, but Huckabee is going to win Iowa going away on the Republican side (that’s one prediction I missed - the other, that Fred Thompson would not finish third, is still in doubt, though Thompson is holding on to third by a thin margin at the moment)…more later…
UPDATE […]

20 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Monday, December 31st, 2007

Iowa Predictions

What the hey…with polls showing both parties completely up for grabs in Iowa, I’ll put my two cents in with predictions.
Republicans:  Mitt Romney
Democrats: Hillary Clinton
Second will go to Huckabee and Edwards, respectively.  Big losers on the day will be Obama, with a tough-to-swallow third, and Fred Thompson, who will begin the slink off the stage […]

8 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, Hillary Clinton, Election 2008 by Mark

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Wednesday, December 26th, 2007

One Week From Iowa

Back in business after an extended Christmas break (among my gifts - an HD DVD player with the 5-disc Blade Runner collection - how cool is that?).  Hard to believe, but Iowa is a scant seven days away now.
On the Republican side, the real suspense is two-fold - can Romney hold off a late-charging Huckabee, […]

5 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Thursday, December 20th, 2007

The End Of Rudy?

You can’t swing a cat without hitting a Rudy free-fall story, but Jim Geraghty says “Not so fast”:
…Rudy will remain in okay shape until it’s a two man race, and that for him to win the nomination, he needs the last remaining Not Rudy candidate to be too bruised to triumph.
Iowa, for now, appears […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark

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Wednesday, December 19th, 2007

I’m Not Endorsing Any Candidate…

…much as that will disappoint the campaign managers who were salivating over the coveted ‘D’08′ demographic (not to be confused with the coveted Homer Simpson ‘D’oh!’ demographic).  For lots of reasons, I think it’s much cleaner for an independent blogger to stay out of that game.
Nevertheless, I have made it plain to all my readers […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Monday, December 17th, 2007

Same As It Ever Was?

With all the excitement over the rise of Huckabee and Obama, the latest USA Today/Gallup numbers seem like a blast from the past, with Rudy and Clinton actually increasing their front-runner status over the prior polling period:
Republicans.
It’s Rudy Giuliani still in the lead — and a quartet of rivals all within striking range. Mike Huckabee’s […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Wednesday, December 12th, 2007

Is The Smart Money Smart? (And Is There Enough of It?)

There is much debate over whether such political trading vehicles as Intrade have enough volume to constitute an accurate source of predictions, but for what it’s worth, the money is still on Hillary and Giuliani, surging Obamas and Huckabees notwithstanding (the Iowa Electronic Market, which has nothing to do with the Iowa primaries, has it […]

No Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

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Monday, December 10th, 2007

The Huckabee Surge

Foreign policy has been much more exciting than political campaigns lately, so I’ve been pretty light on the ostensible purpose of this blog.  However, I would be negligent in my duties if I failed to note that while Giuliani has been struggling under the cloud of ’scandal’, Mike Huckabee has been skyrocketing.  Those looking for proof needn’t […]

9 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Saturday, November 17th, 2007

The Race For Number Two

Rudy Giuliani has led the Republican pack wire-to-wire (at least nationally - among the early primary states, Romney seems the frontrunner), but look what’s happening in the race for second.  A plunging Fred Thompson, a resurgent McCain, and Romney are within three points of each other in the RCP averages, and Mike Huckabee is surging […]

No Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates by Mark

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Monday, November 5th, 2007

Frontrunners Then, Frontrunners Now, Frontrunners In The Future

The most remarkable thing about Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani is not that they are the undisputed frontrunners for their parties’ respective nominations, though clearly they are; no, the remarkable thing is how clearly and consistently they have stayed on top, despite assaults from candidates that both parties’ bases clearly prefer.  Obama and Thompson have been […]

2 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Monday, October 29th, 2007

All Politics Is Local

I focus a lot on national polls and not that much on the ground in the early states.  Here’s a couple of stories to rectify that - first, in Iowa, Huckabee is surging and Edwards is struggling:
The University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll, released at 8 a.m. Monday morning, shows Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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