Decision ‘08

The Race Is On


Archive for '2008 Polls'

Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008

Big, Big Trouble For Rudy G.

Personal feelings aside (I think you all know that I’m a big Giuliani fan), Rudy may be the biggest flop of a frontrunner since Howard Dean if things don’t change quickly.  The RCP Florida average has 5 polls up right now, all taken since January 20th, and Rudy doesn’t lead a single one.  In fact, […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, January 22nd, 2008

The End Of An Odd Campaign

Fred Thompson is out - of course, you heard this much earlier, but I couldn’t get to my PC until now.  Thompson never really seemed to have his heart in it, and his entire campaign, in retrospect, feels a bit forced and phony.  I certainly never thought he had a shot, and the most interesting […]

5 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Republican Candidates by Mark

Wednesday, January 16th, 2008

So What The Fudge Happens Now?

South Carolina is next (for Republicans) and the polls, which show a slight McCain edge, are even more useless than they have been up to this point in this wacky, koo-koo primary season.  Why?  They were all taken during a time frame when McCain was still enjoying the winner’s glow from New Hampshire, and before […]

4 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

Monday, January 7th, 2008

No Sure Things Yet

Obama’s momentum is undeniably real, and the wear is starting to show in the Hillary camp - and with Hillary herself.  The vote in New Hampshire seems a foregone conclusion - but it’s wrong to say that Hillary is out with a loss.  In fact, she still polls comfortably ahead in such delegate-rich states as […]

3 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark

Sunday, January 6th, 2008

And Then Came New Hampshire

Those looking to read the tea leaves for Tuesday’s New Hampshire vote are asking if the Iowa victories of Obama and Huckabee have wings.  In Obama’s case, the answer appears to be yes.  Obama is tied, trailing by one, or leading by as much as 12 in every major poll in New Hampshire taken after […]

9 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Wednesday, January 2nd, 2008

Iowa Is Upon Us

Tomorrow is the day the 2008 presidential campaign officially kicks off, in the always-odd spectacle of a caucus, not a primary.  Truth be told, though I earlier ventured a prediction of Romney and Hillary, this one is a toss-up on both sides.  The Democratic race in particular could go to Hillary, Edwards, or Obama, and […]

8 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Saturday, December 29th, 2007

Second Casualty of Pakistan Tragedy: Mike Huckabee?

There are many, many reasons I could never support the modern Democratic party - their embrace of the unions that are killing our public schools and auto industry, their protectionist nonsense, and their general warmth towards big government spending (this is not to ignore the big government spending of some modern Republicans, the present administration […]

56 Comments » - Posted in Election 2006, Mike Huckabee, Foreign Affairs, 2008 Polls by Mark

Thursday, December 20th, 2007

The End Of Rudy?

You can’t swing a cat without hitting a Rudy free-fall story, but Jim Geraghty says “Not so fast”:
…Rudy will remain in okay shape until it’s a two man race, and that for him to win the nomination, he needs the last remaining Not Rudy candidate to be too bruised to triumph.
Iowa, for now, appears […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark

Wednesday, December 19th, 2007

I’m Not Endorsing Any Candidate…

…much as that will disappoint the campaign managers who were salivating over the coveted ‘D’08′ demographic (not to be confused with the coveted Homer Simpson ‘D’oh!’ demographic).  For lots of reasons, I think it’s much cleaner for an independent blogger to stay out of that game.
Nevertheless, I have made it plain to all my readers […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Monday, December 17th, 2007

Same As It Ever Was?

With all the excitement over the rise of Huckabee and Obama, the latest USA Today/Gallup numbers seem like a blast from the past, with Rudy and Clinton actually increasing their front-runner status over the prior polling period:
Republicans.
It’s Rudy Giuliani still in the lead — and a quartet of rivals all within striking range. Mike Huckabee’s […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Saturday, December 15th, 2007

As Iraq Fades, Huckabee and Obama Rise

Curious as to why the opening vote in Iowa on January 3rd may go to Obama and Huckabee rather than Hillary and Romney, as presumed for so long?  Peter Beinart says it’s because Iraq has settled down:
The reason Iraq is fading is simple: Not as many people are dying there. Fewer deaths mean fewer front-page […]

8 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Iraq, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, December 11th, 2007

More On Huckabee

Yesterday, I shared my opinion that the surging Mike Huckabee might have a chance at the Republican nomination, due to his obvious appeal to the base, but would lose big in the general election because his appeal is limited to the base.  Today, a couple of stories have added to my apprehensions.  One is a new […]

8 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Hillary Clinton, 2008 News, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Monday, December 10th, 2007

The Huckabee Surge

Foreign policy has been much more exciting than political campaigns lately, so I’ve been pretty light on the ostensible purpose of this blog.  However, I would be negligent in my duties if I failed to note that while Giuliani has been struggling under the cloud of ’scandal’, Mike Huckabee has been skyrocketing.  Those looking for proof needn’t […]

9 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Saturday, November 17th, 2007

The Race For Number Two

Rudy Giuliani has led the Republican pack wire-to-wire (at least nationally - among the early primary states, Romney seems the frontrunner), but look what’s happening in the race for second.  A plunging Fred Thompson, a resurgent McCain, and Romney are within three points of each other in the RCP averages, and Mike Huckabee is surging […]

No Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates by Mark

Monday, November 5th, 2007

Frontrunners Then, Frontrunners Now, Frontrunners In The Future

The most remarkable thing about Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani is not that they are the undisputed frontrunners for their parties’ respective nominations, though clearly they are; no, the remarkable thing is how clearly and consistently they have stayed on top, despite assaults from candidates that both parties’ bases clearly prefer.  Obama and Thompson have been […]

2 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

File Under “Damning With Faint Praise”

How popular a candidate is Stephen Colbert? So popular he beats…Ron Paul and Dennis Kucinich.
*Cough*…[sound of crickets chirping]…
Ummm, okay…but my beagle beats Paul and Kucinich! By double digits, even…I mean, come on, I like Rasmussen and all, but is this news?
Wow…

72 Comments » - Posted in Celebrities / Pop Culture / Sports, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Monday, October 29th, 2007

All Politics Is Local

I focus a lot on national polls and not that much on the ground in the early states.  Here’s a couple of stories to rectify that - first, in Iowa, Huckabee is surging and Edwards is struggling:
The University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll, released at 8 a.m. Monday morning, shows Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

Don’t Feel Much Like Blogging Today…

…as I just found out that someone in California has hit my bank account for many hundreds of dollars in at least ten transactions through a credit card linked to the account (hope you get arrested tonight, now that it’s been reported stolen, jackass!).  I know for a fact my credit card was used at a […]

18 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Wednesday, October 17th, 2007

If Elections Were Decided By National Polls, This One Would Be Over

Hillary Clinton has opened up a lead over her Democratic rivals that can only be described as formidable, as a glance at the RealClearPolitics polling summary page shows.  Her average margin is over 26%(!)…BUT (there’s always a but) despite my headline, polls aren’t the deciding factor in elections, specific votes in specific locations are.  Nevertheless, […]

3 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Friday, September 28th, 2007

What A World We Live In!

Fantasy sports meets the 2008 presidential race…go ahead and sign up, you know you want to!…

3 Comments » - Posted in 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark



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