Archive for '2008 Polls'

Monday, April 28th, 2008

With Wright, It’s All Wrong

God knows why (no pun intended) the Reverend Wright chose just now to plaster his mug all over the tube, but for Obama, the timing couldn’t be worse.  Now, I’m not one of those who faults Obama for the things his former pastor said - I’m satisfied with his moves to distance himself from the […]

7 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Sunday, April 20th, 2008

Gallup Daily Tracking Shows Some “Bitter” Aftertaste

After going up by double-figures over rival Hillary Clinton nationally in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, Barack Obama saw his lead completely evaporate in a somewhat-delayed reaction to the “bitter” controversy (or perhaps it was a poor debate performance), though he has pulled back slightly today:
The peeling away of national Democratic support for Barack Obama […]

2 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Wednesday, April 2nd, 2008

A Chance To Put The Nail In The Coffin

…figuratively speaking, of course.  I’m speaking of the first real signs of a possible end to the Democratic race before the convention that I’ve yet seen - a narrowing of the race in Pennsylvania.  While Hillary has to remain the favorite, a new poll has Obama up two, and the RCP average has him down […]

5 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Sunday, March 30th, 2008

Weathered The Storm, He Has

(You have to read that headline in the voice of Yoda for it to make sense)…
Well, it looks like Obama has passed the moment of crisis.  There is no doubt that the Wright affair was a very big deal, indeed - it may not have looked like much on the surface, but it snowballed quickly […]

3 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Saturday, February 23rd, 2008

The Beginning Of The End For Billary Mach II?

The vaunted Clinton machine is on deathwatch, there’s no doubt about it.  More and more polls show Texas to be a toss-up (it was solidly Hillary in the ancient past - say, a couple of weeks ago).  Ohio remains Clinton territory, for now, but by single-digits, and the momentum is on the other side.  Many […]

4 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

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Monday, February 18th, 2008

Wisconsin Moves To Center Stage Tomorrow…

…and with McCain comfortably in front in the polling, most of the attention will be focused on the continuing drama of Obama vs. Clinton.  Obama is up, but only by 4 or 5 points, and that makes this a dangerous race for him.  Why?
Because he is expected to win, but as I’ve noted on many […]

2 Comments » - Posted in John McCain, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Saturday, February 16th, 2008

Obama Makes A Move

Well, he’s been making several, but I’ve become accustomed to keeping up with the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, and for the first time, Obama enjoys a significant lead over Hillary nationally.  Rasmussen has been showing similar results, though the margin is smaller.
A sign of the growing desperation in the Hillary camp is this story that […]

No Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Friday, February 15th, 2008

Lone Star Showdown

So, with Texas in play for the first time in memory, how do the polls look?
Surprisingly close, on both sides of the aisle.  The Texas Credit Union League Poll (wtf?) has Clinton up 8, but McCain by merely 4.
However, American Research Group has Obama(!) up six, and McCain by the same margin.
I’m not shocked to see […]

No Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Sunday, February 3rd, 2008

All Eyes On The California Prize

As we celebrate Super (Bowl) Sunday on the way to Super Tuesday, one state stands head and shoulders above the rest.  The Golden State is the nation’s most populous, and this year, it represents the last best hope for Mitt Romney, and to a lesser extent, Barack Obama.  Both underdogs can point to recent polling […]

12 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

ABMs Out In Force…

…Anyone But McCains, that is…as the sun rose today over a GOP nomination battle that is all but over, the first reaction of the conservative McCain haters (and they are plentiful) was that of denial, as best exemplified by Hugh Hewitt, who spent the entire day railing against McCain and spinning up far-fetched scenarios involving […]

16 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

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Friday, January 25th, 2008

Will Obama Continue To Underperform?

Since the fiasco of the New Hampshire Democratic primary polling, there has been a tendency among many, myself included, to feel that Obama will pull in less votes than the polls suggest in any given primary.  Whether this is the Bradley effect, the young voter thing, or any other explanation cannot be conclusively stated at […]

4 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, John McCain, 2008 News, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008

Big, Big Trouble For Rudy G.

Personal feelings aside (I think you all know that I’m a big Giuliani fan), Rudy may be the biggest flop of a frontrunner since Howard Dean if things don’t change quickly.  The RCP Florida average has 5 polls up right now, all taken since January 20th, and Rudy doesn’t lead a single one.  In fact, […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates by Mark

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Tuesday, January 22nd, 2008

The End Of An Odd Campaign

Fred Thompson is out - of course, you heard this much earlier, but I couldn’t get to my PC until now.  Thompson never really seemed to have his heart in it, and his entire campaign, in retrospect, feels a bit forced and phony.  I certainly never thought he had a shot, and the most interesting […]

5 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Republican Candidates by Mark

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Wednesday, January 16th, 2008

So What The Fudge Happens Now?

South Carolina is next (for Republicans) and the polls, which show a slight McCain edge, are even more useless than they have been up to this point in this wacky, koo-koo primary season.  Why?  They were all taken during a time frame when McCain was still enjoying the winner’s glow from New Hampshire, and before […]

4 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

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Monday, January 7th, 2008

No Sure Things Yet

Obama’s momentum is undeniably real, and the wear is starting to show in the Hillary camp - and with Hillary herself.  The vote in New Hampshire seems a foregone conclusion - but it’s wrong to say that Hillary is out with a loss.  In fact, she still polls comfortably ahead in such delegate-rich states as […]

3 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark

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Sunday, January 6th, 2008

And Then Came New Hampshire

Those looking to read the tea leaves for Tuesday’s New Hampshire vote are asking if the Iowa victories of Obama and Huckabee have wings.  In Obama’s case, the answer appears to be yes.  Obama is tied, trailing by one, or leading by as much as 12 in every major poll in New Hampshire taken after […]

9 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Wednesday, January 2nd, 2008

Iowa Is Upon Us

Tomorrow is the day the 2008 presidential campaign officially kicks off, in the always-odd spectacle of a caucus, not a primary.  Truth be told, though I earlier ventured a prediction of Romney and Hillary, this one is a toss-up on both sides.  The Democratic race in particular could go to Hillary, Edwards, or Obama, and […]

8 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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Saturday, December 29th, 2007

Second Casualty of Pakistan Tragedy: Mike Huckabee?

There are many, many reasons I could never support the modern Democratic party - their embrace of the unions that are killing our public schools and auto industry, their protectionist nonsense, and their general warmth towards big government spending (this is not to ignore the big government spending of some modern Republicans, the present administration […]

56 Comments » - Posted in Election 2006, Mike Huckabee, Foreign Affairs, 2008 Polls by Mark

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Thursday, December 20th, 2007

The End Of Rudy?

You can’t swing a cat without hitting a Rudy free-fall story, but Jim Geraghty says “Not so fast”:
…Rudy will remain in okay shape until it’s a two man race, and that for him to win the nomination, he needs the last remaining Not Rudy candidate to be too bruised to triumph.
Iowa, for now, appears […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark

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Wednesday, December 19th, 2007

I’m Not Endorsing Any Candidate…

…much as that will disappoint the campaign managers who were salivating over the coveted ‘D’08′ demographic (not to be confused with the coveted Homer Simpson ‘D’oh!’ demographic).  For lots of reasons, I think it’s much cleaner for an independent blogger to stay out of that game.
Nevertheless, I have made it plain to all my readers […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

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