Though this surely won’t be the last word, as we have a long way to go until November, I wanted to follow up on last night’s post and give some of my own thoughts about what role race will play in this election.
First, and I mean this with 100% sincerity, let me say up front […]
In a later post, I will put down my own thoughts on the role of race in this campaign, but in this post, I just want to highlight a few pieces published in the wake of the West Virginia stomping last night (while agreeing with the vast majority that the result was essentially meaningless in […]
Despite her upcoming 30+ point victory in West Virginia, Hillary Clinton campaign memorabilia is just not flying off the shelves these days:
The pundits can argue all they want, her campaign may protest that she’s still in the game, but at the “America!” souvenir shops at Dulles International and Reagan National airports, the signs are clear […]
…and I’m predicting Indiana will go Clinton and North Carolina - well, it’s a toss-up. Obama SHOULD win, but everything’s coming up roses for Clinton lately, so I’m not giving North Carolina to either candidate yet.
On the positive side for Obama, he’s been doing quite well with superdelegates as of late, and I predict […]
Timothy Noah says Hillary Clinton supporters are living in the land of make-believe:
Here’s a rule I would like every political reporter, campaign official, TV talking head, and politician in the United States to follow. Go ahead and say, if you like, that Hillary Clinton retains a serious chance of winning the Democratic nomination. If you […]
Mathematically, no…the case for Obama’s inevitable candidacy is as strong as ever. Perceptually, however, he is reeling, there is no doubt. The fact that Obama was forced to hold a press conference once again denouncing the paranoid ravings of his former pastor is a telling indicator of how much the issue has hurt him (largely […]
The press and blogs are full of headlines bemoaning the continuing ‘nightmare’ facing the Democratic Party because they have a competitive race that may not be settled until the convention. Though this has hardly been the rule lately, in the past, it was quite common to not have a definitive nominee at this point […]
Handy little graphic in today’s NY Times, if you haven’t seen it, showing what demographic breakdowns lead to Clinton or Obama victories in a decision tree format.
My question is, has anyone had the patience to go through this tree for all the counties in Indiana? A shiny new dime to the first to meet the […]
The Democrats have pretty much settled on their general election theme: a John McCain presidency would equal George W. Bush’s third term. However, I hope they will reconsider, and take the lead of noted loser George McGovern, who thinks the path to victory lies in ridiculing John McCain’s service to his country:
If I’d be […]
…so much ink and airtime and computer-screen space taken up by a less meaningful event than tomorrow’s Pennsylvania primary. If I haven’t had much to say, that’s because there isn’t much to say. If Hillary wins by 20, it’s as meaningless as if Obama wins by 10. The Democratic nominee is Barack […]
Nope, it was apparently ABC.
James Fallows, as a (very small) sample:
I like and respect Stephanopoulos, and part of what I respect about him is the way he usually conducts his TV interviews. But I also remember dealing with him back in the early Clinton days, he in his role as campaign guy and me in […]
The great Hitchens delivers another one of those patented rejoinders, this time to the Obama speech on Wright and race:
It’s been more than a month since I began warning Sen. Barack Obama that he would become answerable for his revolting choice of a family priest. But never mind that; the astonishing thing is that it’s […]
Here was my official write-off of Hillary Clinton on March 8th:
Every analysis I have seen indicates that Barack Obama will lead the delegate race going into the convention. This holds true even if Hillary gets a do-over in Michigan and Florida. And the Democratic Party simply cannot afford the long-term […]
…with the collapse of the Florida and Michigan revotes, it becomes nearly impossible for Hillary Clinton to execute her ‘legitimacy’ campaign. Adam Nagourney notes her options are narrowing:
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton needs three breaks to wrest the Democratic presidential nomination from Senator Barack Obama in the view of her advisers.
She has to defeat Mr. Obama […]
I was on record, at the time of the Florida primary, as follows:
Hillary wins big…considering that no one else campaigned in the state due to the DNC stripping Florida’s delegates, this is the biggest non-story of the night…however, if Michigan and Florida’s delegates end up getting seated somehow, Hillary is going to look like a […]
The latest liberal talking point on Iraq goes something like this: sure, the surge worked, militarily (as if they had said that at the beginning, instead of arguing that more troops would lead to even greater violence), but Iraq has made zero progress politically, so it’s been a waste, and yes, we should bring the […]
…but not any time soon. She is a Clinton, she plays tough, she has a lot of pride, and she feels entitled to the nomination. But mark my words, she WILL withdraw.
There is simply no choice. Every analysis I have seen indicates that Barack Obama will lead the delegate race going into the convention. This […]
Yes, I know, I know, another post about economics…but trade policy is shaping up to be a major (perhaps THE major) theme of the 2008 election (a sign of how much better things are in Iraq these days, and how bad the current economic picture is). I’ve made my stance on unfettered free trade […]
…and we should be getting some results soon. If there is late momentum, it’s seems to be going Hillary’s way, ironically enough because of NAFTA, a subject of great interest around these parts as of late. Obama did the wrong thing by pandering to Ohio natives about NAFTA, then did the right thing by sending […]
My favorite headline of the day:
Obama Backers Urge Clinton to Exit if She Loses
Hold the presses!…
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