Don’t despair if the worst comes to pass, says our old friend:
I don’t know how the 110th Congress will look when the chads have settled sometime near Midnight, but I do know that, short of an absolute shellacking, Republicans should not despair over Congressional losses. After all, we’ve been repeatedly informed that the ruling party, […]
Don’t count on a lot of leaked exit polls today, if the networks have their way:
This year the networks say they are guarding their exit poll results as if they were crown jewels. The results will be delivered to a “quarantine room,” access to which will be granted to only two staffers from each network […]
…+19 Dems House, +4 Dems Senate…sounds familiar…
For those looking for a break from politics, good luck today…but here’s something to ponder: is gender a matter of choice? The NYC Board of Health says it is…(I wish they would do the same for species…I’ve always wanted to be a dog)…
If, on the other hand, you’re salivating for […]
…we’re at the tail of a fairly exhuasting end to this campaign season (or maybe I’m just tired from going to the gym earlier). A few things we can say with certainty. Voters aren’t real big on Republicans right now. They may not be turning flips over Democrats, either, but the odds are very good […]
Kos has his picks up, and (hilariously) he still picks Lamont. His House prediction:
24 seat pickup if there’s no wave, which I think is the likelier outcome.
36 seat pickup if there is a wave
As for the Senate, sayeth Kos:
I’m seeing a 6-seat gain…
Here’s what Republican pollster Steve Lombardo says:
We are inclined to go a bit […]
Both sides have got ‘em, no matter what they tell you. Noam Scheiber of The New Republic certainly does:
John Judis and I have been e-mailing about the alarming Pew poll that came out today. It reflects the same trends captured by that earlier Washington Post/ABC poll, except that the trends are, gulp, even more pronounced. Worse, the folks […]
Hey, what can I say? The man is a gold mine. Susannah Meadows writes in Newsweek about John Kerry’s ‘epically flubbed joke’:
Chuck Schumer got right to the point. On Thursday afternoon, the New York Senator, who’s leading the Democrats’ efforts to win back the Senate, called John Kerry and let him have it. The Massachussetts Senator’s […]
Hold off, Nancy, you’re not speaker until all the votes are counted. On the heels of the ABC News/Washington Post poll that showed a tightening race with the generic ballot at a mere +6 Dems (after months of double-digit leads for the Donkeys) comes the Pew Research Center with a generic Democratic edge of…4 (!!!) […]
…though an honest observer must admit the momentum has been going Webb’s way. On the outside chance that I have any undecided Virginia readers, let me remind you once more why a vote for Allen is your best option (it’s the economy, stupid! - oh, wait, if I’m trying to sway your vote, I shouldn’t […]
The guys and gals at the Weekly Standard have their picks up: for the most part, they’re disastrous; no one gives the Republicans the House, and quite a few give the Democrats the Senate, too…
Meanwhile, AJ and Dean Barnett say they smell an upset of epic proportions (Barnett says Republicans wil run the table in […]
I’ve been harping on Republicans to run on tax cuts and the economy for literally months now, and with the exception of George Allen, I’ve heard mostly crickets chirping. Maybe that’s changing now:
Republicans seized on a drop in the unemployment rate to assert on Friday that tax cuts were invigorating the economy, highlighting just four […]
…it’s still not a sure thing:
…[T]hree races [are] clear Toss Ups: Missouri, Virginia and Montana. Assuming a Ford loss in Tennessee, Democrats will need to sweep all three of these states to win control of the Senate. Montana had been a race that Democrats felt they had in the bag due to Burns’ Abramoff problems, but […]
So what happens if the Democrats take both houses? The House or Senate only? Or the Republicans hold? One thing’s for sure, says Chuck Todd: a change is gonna come (and apparently, under any scenario, according to Todd, that means the departure of Ken Mehlman from the RNC - and THAT, my friends, would be a […]
Here’s one that seems too good to be true: Reuters/Zogby, Corker by…10(!!!)….and at 53%, to boot…that would be insurmountable, but it’s hard to fathom the race having turned that much…
He’s got it Dems +5 in the Senate, Dems + 20 in the House…
In other election-related news, John Kerry has apologized for his botched apology…
First, some preliminaries to build the tension. Charlie Cook is still calling a wave, with six days to go:
In the House, it would take a miracle for the GOP to hold onto their majority. The losses look very likely to exceed 20 seats, and a 20- to 35-seat loss is most likely, […]
To my delight, the John Kerry remarks are getting an extra day of play (let’s not kid ourselves, though, by pretending this swings the election…it’s just too bad he didn’t make the remarks this coming Monday, but by tomorrow, I expect it will already be old hat - unless Kerry is dumb enough to come […]
Ruth Marcus writes of a signal Nancy Pelosi can send if she assumes the speakership: fresh blood, or same ol’, same ol’? At the heart of the matter is Pelosi’s just-about-already-made decision to pass over Jane Harman on the Intelligence Committee for the impeached ex-judge Alcee Hastings:
If Democrats win control of the House next week, […]
…but there’s not much good news out there for Republicans at the moment. Charlie Cook, whom I’ve lauded before as a very good analyst (though a tad behind Michael Barone, in my book), continues to see signs of a wave election with a week to go:
With the election just eight days away, there are no […]
I may as well say it: though my prediction of Dems +4 stands, for now, if we lose Virginia, we likely lose the Senate…and a new Rasmussen poll has Webb +5. RealClearPolitics puts it this way:
Rasmussen has just released what is a little bit of a shocker poll showing George Allen dropping seven points […]
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