The real fun this Tuesday will be on the Republican side, as Mitt Romney tries to make a stand and stay in the race with a win in his home state. There is no question that McCain has been enjoying a remarkably robust turnaround, but he faces an uphill climb in Michigan. There have been […]
Quick takes on the road ahead:
Romney must win Michigan. Period. Polls show him ahead of McCain, but narrowly, and McCain has the momentum.
Clinton has a huge lead in Nevada, and has regained the upper hand in the Democratic race. Overnight, the narrative has changed completely for the donkeys.
Huckabee has a large lead in South Carolina, […]
So says the Washington Post editorial board:
AT SATURDAY’S New Hampshire debate, Democratic candidates were confronted with a question that they have been ducking for some time: Can they concede that the “surge” of U.S. troops in Iraq has worked? All of them vehemently opposed the troop increase when President Bush proposed it a year ago; […]
It couldn’t be closer on the Democratic side, but Huckabee is going to win Iowa going away on the Republican side (that’s one prediction I missed - the other, that Fred Thompson would not finish third, is still in doubt, though Thompson is holding on to third by a thin margin at the moment)…more later…
UPDATE […]
Tomorrow is the day the 2008 presidential campaign officially kicks off, in the always-odd spectacle of a caucus, not a primary. Truth be told, though I earlier ventured a prediction of Romney and Hillary, this one is a toss-up on both sides. The Democratic race in particular could go to Hillary, Edwards, or Obama, and […]
What the hey…with polls showing both parties completely up for grabs in Iowa, I’ll put my two cents in with predictions.
Republicans: Mitt Romney
Democrats: Hillary Clinton
Second will go to Huckabee and Edwards, respectively. Big losers on the day will be Obama, with a tough-to-swallow third, and Fred Thompson, who will begin the slink off the stage […]
Back in business after an extended Christmas break (among my gifts - an HD DVD player with the 5-disc Blade Runner collection - how cool is that?). Hard to believe, but Iowa is a scant seven days away now.
On the Republican side, the real suspense is two-fold - can Romney hold off a late-charging Huckabee, […]
…much as that will disappoint the campaign managers who were salivating over the coveted ‘D’08′ demographic (not to be confused with the coveted Homer Simpson ‘D’oh!’ demographic). For lots of reasons, I think it’s much cleaner for an independent blogger to stay out of that game.
Nevertheless, I have made it plain to all my readers […]
Yesterday, I shared my opinion that the surging Mike Huckabee might have a chance at the Republican nomination, due to his obvious appeal to the base, but would lose big in the general election because his appeal is limited to the base. Today, a couple of stories have added to my apprehensions. One is a new […]
…and I apologize for even less posting than normal. I didn’t get to watch the Democratic debate yesterday, but from most accounts, Hillary was able to bounce back considerably. NBC’s Chuck Todd says the debate confirmed that it’s Obama vs. Hillary, with John Edwards increasingly irrelevant. That’s okay by me. I wouldn’t vote for Hillary […]
My friends, on both the right and the left, I ask you a question, in all earnestness: how can you vote Democratic if you understand the slightest thing about economics? If for no other reason (and there are plenty of other reasons, but we’ll let that slide for the moment), I could never support a party that […]
I focus a lot on national polls and not that much on the ground in the early states. Here’s a couple of stories to rectify that - first, in Iowa, Huckabee is surging and Edwards is struggling:
The University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll, released at 8 a.m. Monday morning, shows Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in […]
Voters are in a New York state of mind, according to the their latest poll results:
If the primaries were held today, Senator Clinton would best her closest rival, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, by a comfortable 44 percent to 23 percent margin. This represents a 5 point jump since the June NEWSWEEK Poll, which gave her […]
Or just an anomaly? After several polls that showed Fred Thompson and Rudy Giuliani virtually tied, the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll has Rudy up big again:
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani’s bid for the White House is gaining support, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. […]
We’ve debated in the comments section of this very blog the issue: is President Bush’s refusal to embrace the Iraq Study Group’s proposal to allow Iran and Syria a voice in the future of Iraq, for example, stubborn unilateralism, or a canny avoidance of giving the fox a season pass to the hen house?
Now Barack […]
…while Edwards whiffs, despite his team’s best efforts at the spin game:
Aides to Democratic presidential hopeful John Edwards said today that their campaign’s strategy of aggressively cultivating small donors was the key to meeting their $9 million second-quarter fundraising goal.
But with Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton, expected to raise about triple that […]
When the smoke clears from all the Fred Thompson hype and the anti-Rudy backlash over his position on abortion, it’s a tiny bit surprising to see that Giuliani is still the Republican front runner by a large margin. Rudy has 32 percent support in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, compared to 19 for […]
Ye gods, that was just about unbearable. The more I see of these debates, the more convinced I am that they are an almost completely useless contrivance. But I’ll plow ahead:
One, the reason I could NEVER be a Democrat is summed up nicely by the round of applause Kucinich got when he suggested […]
…and it is, because it’s a broad generalization that borders on a smear, it’s not at all unfair to take individual Democrats to account for such weakness. I present to you one John Edwards:
The U.S.-led war on terrorism is “a bumper sticker, not a plan” that has weakened Washington’s global standing, Democratic presidential candidate John […]
Some news sure to calm the nerves of Rudy supporters who haven’t had much to cheer about over the last couple of weeks, and further confirmation that Hillary is widening her lead over Obama, comes from Gallup today:
A new USA Today/Gallup poll finds Hillary Clinton solidifying her lead over Barack Obama and the rest of […]
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