…and with McCain comfortably in front in the polling, most of the attention will be focused on the continuing drama of Obama vs. Clinton. Obama is up, but only by 4 or 5 points, and that makes this a dangerous race for him. Why?
Because he is expected to win, but as I’ve noted on many […]
Well, he’s been making several, but I’ve become accustomed to keeping up with the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, and for the first time, Obama enjoys a significant lead over Hillary nationally. Rasmussen has been showing similar results, though the margin is smaller.
A sign of the growing desperation in the Hillary camp is this story that […]
So, with Texas in play for the first time in memory, how do the polls look?
Surprisingly close, on both sides of the aisle. The Texas Credit Union League Poll (wtf?) has Clinton up 8, but McCain by merely 4.
However, American Research Group has Obama(!) up six, and McCain by the same margin.
I’m not shocked to see […]
Either Obama’s advisors are WILDLY optimistic (and they’ve had a damn good run, no doubt), or they’re just messin’ with Hillary’s head now:
As we wrote last night, Obama has begun to make his own inevitablity case, and David Plouffe made it explicit on a conference call this morning, telling reporters that it’s now “next to […]
…though McCain needed it more, after the somewhat embarrassing Saturday results. I suspect McCain wanted to win Virginia by more than 9, but still, a win is a win (and Virginia is winner-take-all)…
The interesting thing about the Obama results is that he has been not just winning, but pummeling Hillary…and that’s exactly what he has […]
My refusal to believe that Barack Obama has wrapped up the Democratic nomination at this point has led one long-time reader to call me a shill for Hillary(!). John Dickerson backs up my ill-defined sense that Hillary may yet pull this thing out with some reasoned analysis:
1. Clinton has a floor: Despite Obama’s successes, he […]
The Democratic contest is hard to call at the moment because of the quasi-mystical b.s. that is starting to float around the Obama candidacy, but there are signs that Hillary is sweating it. For starters, she just axed her campaign manager - surely never a sign that things are going swimmingly. Then, of course, there […]
While Hillary Clinton is by no means the ‘inevitable’ candidate anymore, I still consider her the favorite for the simple demographic reasons that became so evident in the New Hampshire polling debacle: her support among older people, who vote in a way young people (the lifeblood of the Obama campaign) never will.
However, Jim VandeHei and Mike […]
I’ve been waiting to post on this most crucial day until a storyline developed, but it’s been damn tough to tease out. If there is a story this Super Tuesday, it seems to be this: Mike Huckabee has done better than any candidate with no money and no organization ever has. He won’t win the […]
Okay, guys, many of you can’t stand McCain - you’ve made that perfectly clear. I don’t need to tell you what a Hillary Clinton administration means - some good, lots of bad, and the return of the Billary soap opera. Obama seems a lot more palatable - but appearances can deceive. While Obama talks a good […]
At least, that’s the hope of McCain and Romney. Sadly, I think we can say, based on early leaks of exit polling, it’s goodbye to Rudy Giuliani, who I quite firmly believed (still do) would be the best hope for Republicans in a 2008 election that’s shaping up to be brutal. Alas, the news gets […]
Resounding “No”s from every corner - but most especially from the left. Just a small sample of the anti-Hillary (and anti-Bill) Clinton fuming that is in the air…
TPM’s Josh Marshall:
…With the exception of a few days in early January I’ve gone on the assumption for many months that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee. […]
Too soon to know the margin, but Barack Obama has already been declared the winner in the South Carolina primary. For Obama, it was a must to win, and by a healthy percentage. It appears he has accomplished just that…Hillary remains the frontrunner, with huge leads in New York and California, among other large states, […]
As expected, really…no news yet on any of the day’s other results, but I’ll update when available…
UPDATE 2:29 p.m.: With 11% of the vote in, Clinton is up by 4%. Based on the entrance poll results, this is enough for me: I’m jumping the gun yet again…in a worldwide exclusive, I’m declaring Hillary Clinton the […]
…I found myself temporarily at a loss for words, It’s not that there aren’t good angles to each race tomorrow, but rather, that the stupidity in the air has become a bit overwhelming at the moment.
Consider that we are now seeing the following:
1. Bill and Hillary Clinton attempting to disenfranchise poor casino workers in Nevada […]
The real fun this Tuesday will be on the Republican side, as Mitt Romney tries to make a stand and stay in the race with a win in his home state. There is no question that McCain has been enjoying a remarkably robust turnaround, but he faces an uphill climb in Michigan. There have been […]
Quick takes on the road ahead:
Romney must win Michigan. Period. Polls show him ahead of McCain, but narrowly, and McCain has the momentum.
Clinton has a huge lead in Nevada, and has regained the upper hand in the Democratic race. Overnight, the narrative has changed completely for the donkeys.
Huckabee has a large lead in South Carolina, […]
9% of precincts in, Hillary leads Obama by 37-36(!), McCain over Romney 37-28%…
UPDATE 7:04 p.m.: Hillary up by 3% now with 11% in - if she wins this, and she may very well, it just goes to show that nothing that anyone in the pundit class says (myself included) means much of anything. Sigh…I’m not looking […]
So says the Washington Post editorial board:
AT SATURDAY’S New Hampshire debate, Democratic candidates were confronted with a question that they have been ducking for some time: Can they concede that the “surge” of U.S. troops in Iraq has worked? All of them vehemently opposed the troop increase when President Bush proposed it a year ago; […]
Obama’s momentum is undeniably real, and the wear is starting to show in the Hillary camp - and with Hillary herself. The vote in New Hampshire seems a foregone conclusion - but it’s wrong to say that Hillary is out with a loss. In fact, she still polls comfortably ahead in such delegate-rich states as […]
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