Decision ‘08

The Aftermath


Archive for 'Hillary Clinton'

Monday, February 18th, 2008

Wisconsin Moves To Center Stage Tomorrow…

…and with McCain comfortably in front in the polling, most of the attention will be focused on the continuing drama of Obama vs. Clinton.  Obama is up, but only by 4 or 5 points, and that makes this a dangerous race for him.  Why?
Because he is expected to win, but as I’ve noted on many […]

2 Comments » - Posted in John McCain, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Republican Candidates, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Saturday, February 16th, 2008

Obama Makes A Move

Well, he’s been making several, but I’ve become accustomed to keeping up with the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, and for the first time, Obama enjoys a significant lead over Hillary nationally.  Rasmussen has been showing similar results, though the margin is smaller.
A sign of the growing desperation in the Hillary camp is this story that […]

No Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Friday, February 15th, 2008

Lone Star Showdown

So, with Texas in play for the first time in memory, how do the polls look?
Surprisingly close, on both sides of the aisle.  The Texas Credit Union League Poll (wtf?) has Clinton up 8, but McCain by merely 4.
However, American Research Group has Obama(!) up six, and McCain by the same margin.
I’m not shocked to see […]

No Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Wednesday, February 13th, 2008

True Optimism, Or A “Psych-Out”?

Either Obama’s advisors are WILDLY optimistic (and they’ve had a damn good run, no doubt), or they’re just messin’ with Hillary’s head now:
As we wrote last night, Obama has begun to make his own inevitablity case, and David Plouffe made it explicit on a conference call this morning, telling reporters that it’s now “next to […]

11 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

Tuesday, February 12th, 2008

Big Night For McCain and Obama…

…though McCain needed it more, after the somewhat embarrassing Saturday results.  I suspect McCain wanted to win Virginia by more than 9, but still, a win is a win (and Virginia is winner-take-all)…
The interesting thing about the Obama results is that he has been not just winning, but pummeling Hillary…and that’s exactly what he has […]

7 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Monday, February 11th, 2008

Hillary Can Keep Hope Alive, Says Dickerson

My refusal to believe that Barack Obama has wrapped up the Democratic nomination at this point has led one long-time reader to call me a shill for Hillary(!).  John Dickerson backs up my ill-defined sense that Hillary may yet pull this thing out with some reasoned analysis:
1. Clinton has a floor: Despite Obama’s successes, he […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

Sunday, February 10th, 2008

Is Obama The Frontrunner?

The Democratic contest is hard to call at the moment because of the quasi-mystical b.s. that is starting to float around the Obama candidacy, but there are signs that Hillary is sweating it.  For starters, she just axed her campaign manager - surely never a sign that things are going swimmingly.  Then, of course, there […]

13 Comments » - Posted in John McCain, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, Democratic Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

Wednesday, February 6th, 2008

Am I Overestimating Hillary?

While Hillary Clinton is by no means the ‘inevitable’ candidate anymore, I still consider her the favorite for the simple demographic reasons that became so evident in the New Hampshire polling debacle: her support among older people, who vote in a way young people (the lifeblood of the Obama campaign) never will.
However, Jim VandeHei and Mike […]

8 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

Wednesday, February 6th, 2008

I Guess I Should Weigh In At This Point

I’ve been waiting to post on this most crucial day until a storyline developed, but it’s been damn tough to tease out.  If there is a story this Super Tuesday, it seems to be this: Mike Huckabee has done better than any candidate with no money and no organization ever has.  He won’t win the […]

13 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Thursday, January 31st, 2008

My Attempt To Inspire The McCain-Haters

Okay, guys, many of you can’t stand McCain - you’ve made that perfectly clear.  I don’t need to tell you what a Hillary Clinton administration means - some good, lots of bad, and the return of the Billary soap opera.  Obama seems a lot more palatable - but appearances can deceive.  While Obama talks a good […]

14 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Election 2006, Mitt Romney, John McCain, Republican Candidates, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, January 29th, 2008

Florida - Gateway To The Nomination

At least, that’s the hope of McCain and Romney.  Sadly, I think we can say, based on early leaks of exit polling, it’s goodbye to Rudy Giuliani, who I quite firmly believed (still do) would be the best hope for Republicans in a 2008 election that’s shaping up to be brutal.  Alas, the news gets […]

23 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Sunday, January 27th, 2008

Bill Clinton For President?

Resounding “No”s from every corner - but most especially from the left.  Just a small sample of the anti-Hillary (and anti-Bill) Clinton fuming that is in the air…
TPM’s Josh Marshall:
…With the exception of a few days in early January I’ve gone on the assumption for many months that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee. […]

8 Comments » - Posted in Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Election 2008 by Mark

Saturday, January 26th, 2008

Obama Wins - Big

Too soon to know the margin, but Barack Obama has already been declared the winner in the South Carolina primary.  For Obama, it was a must to win, and by a healthy percentage.  It appears he has accomplished just that…Hillary remains the frontrunner, with huge leads in New York and California, among other large states, […]

16 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Saturday, January 19th, 2008

AP Calls Nevada For Romney

As expected, really…no news yet on any of the day’s other results, but I’ll update when available…
UPDATE 2:29 p.m.: With 11% of the vote in, Clinton is up by 4%.  Based on the entrance poll results, this is enough for me: I’m jumping the gun yet again…in a worldwide exclusive, I’m declaring Hillary Clinton the […]

14 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Friday, January 18th, 2008

One The Eve Of A Big, Big Primary Day…

…I found myself temporarily at a loss for words,  It’s not that there aren’t good angles to each race tomorrow, but rather, that the stupidity in the air has become a bit overwhelming at the moment.
Consider that we are now seeing the following:
1.  Bill and Hillary Clinton attempting to disenfranchise poor casino workers in Nevada […]

6 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Sunday, January 13th, 2008

Next Stop, Michigan

The real fun this Tuesday will be on the Republican side, as Mitt Romney tries to make a stand and stay in the race with a win in his home state.  There is no question that McCain has been enjoying a remarkably robust turnaround, but he faces an uphill climb in Michigan.  There have been […]

11 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Mitt Romney, John McCain, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, Hillary Clinton, Election 2008 by Mark

Tuesday, January 8th, 2008

Looking Ahead: Romney’s Last Stand?

Quick takes on the road ahead:
Romney must win Michigan.  Period.  Polls show him ahead of McCain, but narrowly, and McCain has the momentum.
Clinton has a huge lead in Nevada, and has regained the upper hand in the Democratic race.  Overnight, the narrative has changed completely for the donkeys. 
Huckabee has a large lead in South Carolina, […]

7 Comments » - Posted in Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, Hillary Clinton, Election 2008 by Mark

Tuesday, January 8th, 2008

Early New Hampshire Results

9% of precincts in, Hillary leads Obama by 37-36(!), McCain over Romney 37-28%…
UPDATE 7:04 p.m.: Hillary up by 3% now with 11% in - if she wins this, and she may very well, it just goes to show that nothing that anyone in the pundit class says (myself included) means much of anything.  Sigh…I’m not looking […]

13 Comments » - Posted in Mike Huckabee, Bill Richardson, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, John McCain, Republican Candidates, 2008 News, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, January 8th, 2008

When It Comes To Iraq, Dems Can ‘See No Good’

So says the Washington Post editorial board:
AT SATURDAY’S New Hampshire debate, Democratic candidates were confronted with a question that they have been ducking for some time: Can they concede that the “surge” of U.S. troops in Iraq has worked? All of them vehemently opposed the troop increase when President Bush proposed it a year ago; […]

25 Comments » - Posted in Barack Obama, John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Iraq, Democratic Candidates, Hillary Clinton, Election 2008 by Mark

Monday, January 7th, 2008

No Sure Things Yet

Obama’s momentum is undeniably real, and the wear is starting to show in the Hillary camp - and with Hillary herself.  The vote in New Hampshire seems a foregone conclusion - but it’s wrong to say that Hillary is out with a loss.  In fact, she still polls comfortably ahead in such delegate-rich states as […]

3 Comments » - Posted in Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Barack Obama, John McCain, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Candidates, Republican Candidates, 2008 Polls, Election 2008 by Mark



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