Here was my official write-off of Hillary Clinton on March 8th:
Every analysis I have seen indicates that Barack Obama will lead the delegate race going into the convention. This holds true even if Hillary gets a do-over in Michigan and Florida. And the Democratic Party simply cannot afford the long-term […]
…with the collapse of the Florida and Michigan revotes, it becomes nearly impossible for Hillary Clinton to execute her ‘legitimacy’ campaign. Adam Nagourney notes her options are narrowing:
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton needs three breaks to wrest the Democratic presidential nomination from Senator Barack Obama in the view of her advisers.
She has to defeat Mr. Obama […]
From CNN:
After weeks of negotiations, the Florida Democratic Party said Monday it will not hold a second primary in the state.
The state party’s leaders have been seeking a way to have Florida’s delegation seated at the Democratic National Convention.
“We researched every potential alternative process — from caucuses to county conventions to mail-in elections — but […]
Here’s the latest:
Florida Democrats on Thursday proposed a vote-by-mail presidential primary to solve the high-stakes delegate dispute while acknowledging the plan’s chances are slim.
Democrats in Florida and Michigan have been struggling to come up with an alternative to ensure their delegates are seated at the national convention this summer after the party punished them for […]
No surprise at all there…but CNN is also reporting that Obama officially got more delegates out of Texas than Clinton:
Obama will also finish first in the Texas Democratic caucuses, which were held last week.
He will get more delegates out of the state than rival Sen. Hillary Clinton, who won the state’s primary.
Now don’t hold […]
I was on record, at the time of the Florida primary, as follows:
Hillary wins big…considering that no one else campaigned in the state due to the DNC stripping Florida’s delegates, this is the biggest non-story of the night…however, if Michigan and Florida’s delegates end up getting seated somehow, Hillary is going to look like a […]
…but not any time soon. She is a Clinton, she plays tough, she has a lot of pride, and she feels entitled to the nomination. But mark my words, she WILL withdraw.
There is simply no choice. Every analysis I have seen indicates that Barack Obama will lead the delegate race going into the convention. This […]
Yes, I know, I know, another post about economics…but trade policy is shaping up to be a major (perhaps THE major) theme of the 2008 election (a sign of how much better things are in Iraq these days, and how bad the current economic picture is). I’ve made my stance on unfettered free trade […]
…and we should be getting some results soon. If there is late momentum, it’s seems to be going Hillary’s way, ironically enough because of NAFTA, a subject of great interest around these parts as of late. Obama did the wrong thing by pandering to Ohio natives about NAFTA, then did the right thing by sending […]
My favorite headline of the day:
Obama Backers Urge Clinton to Exit if She Loses
Hold the presses!…
With Ohio favoring Clinton, though narrowly, and Texas essentially a toss-up, everyone, myself included, expects Obama’s recent momentum to take him over the top, at least in Texas, if not Ohio.
But what if that’s not the case? What if Hillary wins both Ohio and Texas, even if by the thinnest of margins?
I think the answer […]
…I’ve been voting in Texas for 21 years now and I’ve never seen as high of a turnout for early voting. Lines (actual lines!) at the polls - kind of unheard of in these parts.
And, since I live in the most liberal city in the state by far, I should also note that of my […]
The vaunted Clinton machine is on deathwatch, there’s no doubt about it. More and more polls show Texas to be a toss-up (it was solidly Hillary in the ancient past - say, a couple of weeks ago). Ohio remains Clinton territory, for now, but by single-digits, and the momentum is on the other side. Many […]
If you had a hard time getting to the site today, it’s because I had to update my domain name servers (translation: my address changed). Looks like things are back to normal now.
Of course, Hillary and Obama are debating in my fair city at this moment, but the big story of the day was definitely […]
While I still insist the he has NOT clinched the nomination, it will take a major, major turn of events to derail Barack Obama at this point. I have been cautious, perhaps overly so, in dismissing the might of the Clinton machine, but connections and power can only take you so far - at some […]
…and with McCain comfortably in front in the polling, most of the attention will be focused on the continuing drama of Obama vs. Clinton. Obama is up, but only by 4 or 5 points, and that makes this a dangerous race for him. Why?
Because he is expected to win, but as I’ve noted on many […]
Well, he’s been making several, but I’ve become accustomed to keeping up with the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, and for the first time, Obama enjoys a significant lead over Hillary nationally. Rasmussen has been showing similar results, though the margin is smaller.
A sign of the growing desperation in the Hillary camp is this story that […]
So, with Texas in play for the first time in memory, how do the polls look?
Surprisingly close, on both sides of the aisle. The Texas Credit Union League Poll (wtf?) has Clinton up 8, but McCain by merely 4.
However, American Research Group has Obama(!) up six, and McCain by the same margin.
I’m not shocked to see […]
Either Obama’s advisors are WILDLY optimistic (and they’ve had a damn good run, no doubt), or they’re just messin’ with Hillary’s head now:
As we wrote last night, Obama has begun to make his own inevitablity case, and David Plouffe made it explicit on a conference call this morning, telling reporters that it’s now “next to […]
…though McCain needed it more, after the somewhat embarrassing Saturday results. I suspect McCain wanted to win Virginia by more than 9, but still, a win is a win (and Virginia is winner-take-all)…
The interesting thing about the Obama results is that he has been not just winning, but pummeling Hillary…and that’s exactly what he has […]
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