Mathematically, no…the case for Obama’s inevitable candidacy is as strong as ever. Perceptually, however, he is reeling, there is no doubt. The fact that Obama was forced to hold a press conference once again denouncing the paranoid ravings of his former pastor is a telling indicator of how much the issue has hurt him (largely […]
God knows why (no pun intended) the Reverend Wright chose just now to plaster his mug all over the tube, but for Obama, the timing couldn’t be worse. Now, I’m not one of those who faults Obama for the things his former pastor said - I’m satisfied with his moves to distance himself from the […]
The press and blogs are full of headlines bemoaning the continuing ‘nightmare’ facing the Democratic Party because they have a competitive race that may not be settled until the convention. Though this has hardly been the rule lately, in the past, it was quite common to not have a definitive nominee at this point […]
Handy little graphic in today’s NY Times, if you haven’t seen it, showing what demographic breakdowns lead to Clinton or Obama victories in a decision tree format.
My question is, has anyone had the patience to go through this tree for all the counties in Indiana? A shiny new dime to the first to meet the […]
…but that’s no surprise. How big will the margin be? I predicted 9 points yesterday, but it may end up closer than that. If so, I consider that a victory for Obama, though Hillary will, I suspect, disagree…
UPDATE 8:41 p.m.: There was one candidate today who chose not to pander to economic […]
…so much ink and airtime and computer-screen space taken up by a less meaningful event than tomorrow’s Pennsylvania primary. If I haven’t had much to say, that’s because there isn’t much to say. If Hillary wins by 20, it’s as meaningless as if Obama wins by 10. The Democratic nominee is Barack […]
After going up by double-figures over rival Hillary Clinton nationally in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, Barack Obama saw his lead completely evaporate in a somewhat-delayed reaction to the “bitter” controversy (or perhaps it was a poor debate performance), though he has pulled back slightly today:
The peeling away of national Democratic support for Barack Obama […]
From the Wall Street Journal:
Clinton’s Goal: Win Big in Pennsylvania, Sow Doubts Over Obama
You don’t say!…
On the Springsteen front, it’s been an up and down week. The week started, of course, with my show in Dallas, then a couple of days later, Bruce endorsed Obama. Today, sad news: E Street Band keyboard player Danny Federici, […]
Nope, it was apparently ABC.
James Fallows, as a (very small) sample:
I like and respect Stephanopoulos, and part of what I respect about him is the way he usually conducts his TV interviews. But I also remember dealing with him back in the early Clinton days, he in his role as campaign guy and me in […]
More on the bitter thing (I know there’s a debate on right now, but I’m too busy to watch): it appears that Obama will weather the storm again, and I must continue to attribute his good fortune to real disgust most Americans are feeling towards the Clintons and the way they have run this campaign. […]
…and the Hillary campaign is making sure of it. I’m referring, of course, to the second big Obama kerfuffle of Campaign 2008, affectionately known as ‘Bittergate’. Now, it’s almost impossible to know how badly this has hurt him from all the background noise the Hillary backers are making - but it has hurt, […]
Okay, that headline’s really me just having a bit of fun. But Barack Obama has stirred quite a controversy over remarks that appeared to demean the values of small town Pennsylvanians. Read all about here, here, and here…more than a fleeting bit of trouble? We’ll see if the story has legs next […]
That’s the Protectionist Party of America, formerly known as the Democratic Party. From the Washington Post editorial board (titled Drop Dead, Columbia):
THE YEAR 2008 may enter history as the time when the Democratic Party lost its way on trade. Already, the party’s presidential candidates have engaged in an unseemly contest to adopt the […]
So craven that Nancy Pelosi will rewrite the rules in the middle of the game to prevent consideration of a free-trade pact she helped craft in a blatantly obvious attempt to curry favor with protectionist progressives:
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said today that Democrats will seek to delay consideration of a trade agreement with […]
The universally reviled Mark Penn is out as Clinton’s chief campaign strategist, ironically enough for pushing free trade:
Mark Penn, the architect of much of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s presidential campaign, has been replaced as the campaign’s chief strategist in the wake of revelations that he lobbied on behalf of a trade treaty with Colombia that […]
I sure hope he’s paid them back:
The Clintons’ joint returns show them earning more than $109 million over a period of seven years.
The biggest source of income is Bill Clinton’s speeches — source of $51 million. He made another $30 million from books; Hillary made about $10 million from her book.
Ye gads…this ‘public service’ thing […]
…figuratively speaking, of course. I’m speaking of the first real signs of a possible end to the Democratic race before the convention that I’ve yet seen - a narrowing of the race in Pennsylvania. While Hillary has to remain the favorite, a new poll has Obama up two, and the RCP average has him down […]
(You have to read that headline in the voice of Yoda for it to make sense)…
Well, it looks like Obama has passed the moment of crisis. There is no doubt that the Wright affair was a very big deal, indeed - it may not have looked like much on the surface, but it snowballed quickly […]
Here was my official write-off of Hillary Clinton on March 8th:
Every analysis I have seen indicates that Barack Obama will lead the delegate race going into the convention. This holds true even if Hillary gets a do-over in Michigan and Florida. And the Democratic Party simply cannot afford the long-term […]
…with the collapse of the Florida and Michigan revotes, it becomes nearly impossible for Hillary Clinton to execute her ‘legitimacy’ campaign. Adam Nagourney notes her options are narrowing:
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton needs three breaks to wrest the Democratic presidential nomination from Senator Barack Obama in the view of her advisers.
She has to defeat Mr. Obama […]
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