Though this surely won’t be the last word, as we have a long way to go until November, I wanted to follow up on last night’s post and give some of my own thoughts about what role race will play in this election.
First, and I mean this with 100% sincerity, let me say up front […]
In a later post, I will put down my own thoughts on the role of race in this campaign, but in this post, I just want to highlight a few pieces published in the wake of the West Virginia stomping last night (while agreeing with the vast majority that the result was essentially meaningless in […]
…Hillary Clinton has won West Virginia. No margin yet, but expect it to be huge…What does it change? Nothing, but she’ll get some good headlines, and various pundits will breathlessly wonder what this says about Obama’s electability…
UPDATE 11:22 p.m.: Well, credit where credit is due…40+ points is a huge win. Unfortunately, what this result […]
Despite her upcoming 30+ point victory in West Virginia, Hillary Clinton campaign memorabilia is just not flying off the shelves these days:
The pundits can argue all they want, her campaign may protest that she’s still in the game, but at the “America!” souvenir shops at Dulles International and Reagan National airports, the signs are clear […]
The final shoe has dropped, the final nail is in the coffin: Barack Obama now leads in superdelegates, too.
ABC News’ Karen Travers Reports: For the first time this campaign season, Barack Obama has surpassed Hillary Clinton’s support among superdelegates, according to the ABC News delegate estimate.
Sen. Obama, D-Ill., picked up two superdelegates this morning […]
More and more chatter is flying around concerning the possibility of an Obama/Clinton ticket - chatter that is being pushed hard by Clinton insiders. I have always assumed Hillary wouldn’t want - and Obama wouldn’t offer - the slot of Vice President. It’s becoming increasingly clear, however, that if the alternative is to return to […]
…then Hillary Clinton has had the worst day of the campaign. You can’t swing a cat without hitting some pundit, famous or otherwise, calling her presidential bid doomed (and you won’t find any disagreement here - it’s over). Her chance of securing the nomination plummeted to 8.5% at Intrade after trading as high as 22% […]
Computer issues prevent more than a brief post, but, though Indiana still looks like it will go Clinton by a very small margin, Obama has won North Carolina, big. And that’s really all he needed.
I wavered a bit on Obama, as he was definitely reeling, but I’m back up to 99.9% certainty: the nomination is […]
…and I’m predicting Indiana will go Clinton and North Carolina - well, it’s a toss-up. Obama SHOULD win, but everything’s coming up roses for Clinton lately, so I’m not giving North Carolina to either candidate yet.
On the positive side for Obama, he’s been doing quite well with superdelegates as of late, and I predict […]
Timothy Noah says Hillary Clinton supporters are living in the land of make-believe:
Here’s a rule I would like every political reporter, campaign official, TV talking head, and politician in the United States to follow. Go ahead and say, if you like, that Hillary Clinton retains a serious chance of winning the Democratic nomination. If you […]
Frequent readers know that I am an unapologetic 100% free-trader. I’ve made the case elsewhere, so here I will simply state that no movement in human history has improved the lot of so many as the development of trade, particularly in the modern democratic, capitalist sense. And yet America, a country that has […]
Mathematically, no…the case for Obama’s inevitable candidacy is as strong as ever. Perceptually, however, he is reeling, there is no doubt. The fact that Obama was forced to hold a press conference once again denouncing the paranoid ravings of his former pastor is a telling indicator of how much the issue has hurt him (largely […]
God knows why (no pun intended) the Reverend Wright chose just now to plaster his mug all over the tube, but for Obama, the timing couldn’t be worse. Now, I’m not one of those who faults Obama for the things his former pastor said - I’m satisfied with his moves to distance himself from the […]
The press and blogs are full of headlines bemoaning the continuing ‘nightmare’ facing the Democratic Party because they have a competitive race that may not be settled until the convention. Though this has hardly been the rule lately, in the past, it was quite common to not have a definitive nominee at this point […]
Handy little graphic in today’s NY Times, if you haven’t seen it, showing what demographic breakdowns lead to Clinton or Obama victories in a decision tree format.
My question is, has anyone had the patience to go through this tree for all the counties in Indiana? A shiny new dime to the first to meet the […]
…but that’s no surprise. How big will the margin be? I predicted 9 points yesterday, but it may end up closer than that. If so, I consider that a victory for Obama, though Hillary will, I suspect, disagree…
UPDATE 8:41 p.m.: There was one candidate today who chose not to pander to economic […]
…so much ink and airtime and computer-screen space taken up by a less meaningful event than tomorrow’s Pennsylvania primary. If I haven’t had much to say, that’s because there isn’t much to say. If Hillary wins by 20, it’s as meaningless as if Obama wins by 10. The Democratic nominee is Barack […]
After going up by double-figures over rival Hillary Clinton nationally in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, Barack Obama saw his lead completely evaporate in a somewhat-delayed reaction to the “bitter” controversy (or perhaps it was a poor debate performance), though he has pulled back slightly today:
The peeling away of national Democratic support for Barack Obama […]
From the Wall Street Journal:
Clinton’s Goal: Win Big in Pennsylvania, Sow Doubts Over Obama
You don’t say!…
On the Springsteen front, it’s been an up and down week. The week started, of course, with my show in Dallas, then a couple of days later, Bruce endorsed Obama. Today, sad news: E Street Band keyboard player Danny Federici, […]
Nope, it was apparently ABC.
James Fallows, as a (very small) sample:
I like and respect Stephanopoulos, and part of what I respect about him is the way he usually conducts his TV interviews. But I also remember dealing with him back in the early Clinton days, he in his role as campaign guy and me in […]
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