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Wednesday, November 8th, 2006

Where We Stand

At the moment, according to the RealClearPolitics scorecards, the Senate will be either 50-50, or 51-49 Dems, with the latter the more likely outcome. Montana and Virginia have not been officially called. In the House, the Dems are up 27, with 13 races still undecided.
There will be thousands, literally, of post-mortems today, and we’ll no […]

1 Comment » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Tuesday, November 7th, 2006

Say Hello To Speaker Pelosi

Well, I’m killing the updates to the open thread, as we clearly have reached a point of closure in the House, even as the Senate hangs in the balance. The Democrats have won a big victory, and we can be Kos-style jerks about it, or we can accept the slap in the face the voters […]

19 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Tuesday, November 7th, 2006

Open Election Night Thread

I’ll keep updating this throughout the evening. Post any good news (or bad) you have in the comments, if you wish.
Good page for results here at CNN. Dewine has lost, no surprise there. Allen is in big trouble; with 20% or so of the vote in, Webb has a slight lead…Rendell over Swan, again, not […]

17 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Election 2006, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Monday, November 6th, 2006

The Trifecta

Both AJ and Mickey Kaus note the USA Today poll that puts the generic Democrat edge at +7; that makes three polls in the final weekend that show a considerable tightening of the race…will it be enough? We’ll find out soon enough…

No Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Sunday, November 5th, 2006

Outlier Alert!

This a real shocker, but it’s also so far off of other polling that it must be viewed with a suspicious eye - nevertheless, Rhode Island, written off by most (including me), according to Mason-Dixon, is now Chafee +1.
Amazing, if true…regardless, I grow increasingly optimistic about the Senate, while remaining pessimistic about the House…

5 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Saturday, November 4th, 2006

What Liberal Media?: Part 82

The headline in the Washington Post: Democrats, On The Offensive, Could Gain Both Houses. And they very well could…yet the article presents no evidence that the Senate will swing the Democrats’ way, and the survey that provided the impetus for the article shows Republican gains in almost every category.
Some examples:
Bush job approval: 43%, up […]

9 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys, NY Times/Media Watch by Mark

Saturday, November 4th, 2006

MI In Play? In A Word, No

I know some of my regulars assure me that Brouchard will win in Michigan. To you, my friends, I say: I admire your optimism, but…51-38…
Even if the poll is off by 10 points, Brouchard loses…that’s a goner…

2 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Friday, November 3rd, 2006

A Little Of This, A Little Of That

Rich Lowry on the internal Republican polling…
Shock of the day: Kos doesn’t like Lieberman, and vice-versa (hilariously, Kos takes offense because Lieberman called DKos the leading left-wing blog; apparently Markos thinks he’s in the mainstream. Bonus hilarity for complaining about Lieberman’s thuggish tactics (heard any Rape Gurney Joe jokes lately, Markos?))…
Second shock of the day: massive Democratic […]

1 Comment » - Posted in Joe Lieberman, 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys, NY Times/Media Watch, Progressive Nonsense / Nutroots®, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Thursday, November 2nd, 2006

A Plethora Of Polling, Punditry, And Predictions

NRO’s The Corner: Dems +6 in the Senate…
Reuters/Zogby: Menendez by 12(!) in New Jersey…
Rutgers-Eagleton: Menendez by 4…
Larry Sabatto: Dems +5-6 in Senate, +24-30 in House…
Patterico: Truth +50 over NY Times…

16 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys, NY Times/Media Watch by Mark

Thursday, November 2nd, 2006

I’ve Stayed Out Of This One Until Now…

…but regarding that liberal blogger/activist who was “attacked for merely exercising his free speech by Allen supporters” (and who had earlier telegraphed his intention of causing an incident on Daily Kos)….look at the following sequence from the AllenHQ blog and tell me if it changes your opinion of what happened. I personally find it quite […]

3 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, George Allen, Progressive Nonsense / Nutroots®, Republican Candidates by Mark

Wednesday, November 1st, 2006

It’s Lieberman By 12…

…in the latest Quinnipiac survey:
The good news for Lamont is that he has cut Lieberman’s lead by 5 points. The bad news for Lamont is that he still trails by 12 points, which is about where he has been since his Democratic primary victory in August,” [said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D].
If Lamont […]

1 Comment » - Posted in John Edwards, 2006 News, Progressive Nonsense / Nutroots®, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, October 31st, 2006

More On JFK II

The Hotline On Call has a series of questions:
By making himself an issue, did Sen. John Kerry do the GOP a favor by giving them an issue to motivate their base? (Independents may not care, but the base hates Kerry… hates him.)
If Kerry is happy to let America know that he’s not going to take […]

22 Comments » - Posted in POTUS, John Kerry, 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys, 2008 News, Progressive Nonsense / Nutroots®, Iraq, Democratic Candidates by Mark

Tuesday, October 31st, 2006

Some Good News From Tennessee

Though the latest CNN poll shows Allen down by 4 and Menendez up by 7, it also shows Corker up by 8 (all among likely voters)….

6 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Monday, October 30th, 2006

Uh-Oh…

…don’t look now, but the latest trend is towards the Democrats. Here’s one bit of bad news:
The latest AP-AOL News poll showed 56 percent of likely voters said Democrats, while 37 percent said Republicans, a 19 percentage-point advantage less than two weeks before voters choose a new House. The gap was 10 percentage points in […]

No Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys, Iraq by Mark

Saturday, October 28th, 2006

Missouri: It’s Talent By Two

And even more encouraging, he reaches the 50% level…so says the latest Rasmussen…

2 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News by Mark

Friday, October 27th, 2006

Predictions! Get Your Red-Hot Predictions Here!

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball:
As we take a snapshot of the electoral landscape from the perspective of twelve days out, our best guess is that Democrats are on track to net 21 to 26 seats in the House, 4 to 6 seats in the Senate, and 5 to 7 governorships. We place slightly more confidence in […]

9 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Thursday, October 26th, 2006

The Culture of Corruption: Don’t Write Off New Jersey

The latest Rasmussen has Kean and Menendez all tied up, and the CBS News/NY Times poll has Menendez by a single point. Ominous fact for Menendez: when asked the first thing that comes to mind when they hear the name ‘Robert Menendez’, 21% of likely voters say ‘corruption’. Wow…

5 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Thursday, October 26th, 2006

Survey USA

Allen up 3, Corker and Ford tied…

4 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants, Donkeys by Mark

Wednesday, October 25th, 2006

Blogger Conference Call - RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman

Just got through participating (well, listening - I didn’t ask any questions this time) in a conference call with RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman. It was very quick - the Chairman no doubt has quite a few things on his agenda at the moment…but I thought I’d share my general impressions with you.
I must take […]

6 Comments » - Posted in 2006 News, Elephants by Mark

Wednesday, October 25th, 2006

It’s Good News, Bad News For The GOP…

….with the latest LA Times/Bloomberg Senate polls, as Corker leads Ford 49-44 in Tennessee (woo-hoo!), but Webb is up over Allen 47-44 (d’oh!). That seems like an outlier on the Webb-Allen match (on both races, really), so I’d like to see confirmation from other new polls over the next few days before I get too […]