Decision ‘08

I Hate To Be The Bearing Of Bad Tidings Again…

…but there’s not much good news out there for Republicans at the moment. Charlie Cook, whom I’ve lauded before as a very good analyst (though a tad behind Michael Barone, in my book), continues to see signs of a wave election with a week to go:

With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating. Barring a dramatic event, we are looking at the prospect of GOP losses in the House of at least 20 to 35 seats, possibly more, and at least four in the Senate, with five or six most likely.

If independents vote in fairly low numbers, as is customary in midterm elections, losses in the House will be on the lower end of that range. But if they turn out at a higher than normal level, their strong preference for Democrats in most races would likely push the GOP House losses to or above the upper levels.

I want to see if any more new polling comes out tomorrow before jumping in with my House prediction, but I will say this: I was more optimistic a week ago than I am today…

One Response to “I Hate To Be The Bearing Of Bad Tidings Again…”

1 me Says:
October 31st, 2006 at 7:54 pm
how laughably silly. there will be no Democrat takeover of either house. there is no wave. CBS Special next week: “Charlie Cook Cooks Crow”